Summer season bookings from the UK to European Union countries are lagging 4.6% on last year as Britain prepares for its first post-Brexit holidays, according to latest findings from ForwardKeys which predicts future travel patterns by analysing 17 million booking transactions a day.
Instead, many Brits appear to be flocking elsewhere in the southern Mediterranean. Turkey, with a huge 40% share of non-EU holiday bookings, is seeing demand ahead 31% on last year. Tunisia, Egypt and Jamaica are currently also doing very well. These trends are very much in line with those observed over the summer of 2018, when security concerns in Turkish, North African and Middle-Eastern destinations started to fade.
EU bookings to the UK have slowed considerably in the first quarter of this year.
But there’s a brighter Easter outlook for EU travel to the UK with bookings currently ahead 7.7% with the major origin markets, Germany, Netherlands, France, Sweden, Spain and Italy, all showing growth.
And growth in scheduled seat capacity on direct flights to the UK from the EU is set to improve this summer.